The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 51.9% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, while Trump will end up with 48.1%. In comparison, on October 14 Trump was predicted to gain 47.7% of the vote.
Historically, Ohio has been a purple state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. Therefore, forecasts in this state are of particular interest.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 51.2% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.