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North Dakota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 39.3% for Clinton, and 60.7% for Trump in North Dakota.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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