New York: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 64.2% for Clinton, and 35.8% for Trump in New York. In comparison, on October 19, Clinton was predicted to gain only 62.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 62.2% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.