New York: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 62.6% for Clinton, and 37.4% for Trump in New York.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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