New York: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 62.6% for Clinton, and 37.4% for Trump in New York.
Putting the results in context
Single models may incorporate large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.