New York: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 62.6% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will win 37.4%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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