Vermont Public Radio published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Vermont were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Vermont Public Radio poll results
Of those who answered the question, 39.0% said that they are going to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 17.0% said that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted between July 11 and July 23. The sample size was 637 likely voters. The error margin is +/-3.9 points. This means that the poll results for the two candidates differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls may contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single polls, we recommend to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 69.6% for Clinton and 30.4% for Trump.
The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Vermont. That is, Polly's forecast is 5.2 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's sampling error.