New Mexico: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.3% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will end up with 43.7%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.8% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.