New Mexico: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.3% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will end up with 43.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.8% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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