The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 52.0% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, while Trump will end up with 48.0%. In comparison, on October 13 Trump was predicted to gain 47.8% of the vote.
Historically, Nevada has been a battleground state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. Hence, predictions here are of particular value.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nevada.