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Nevada: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 52.0% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, while Trump will end up with 48.0%. In comparison, on October 13 Trump was predicted to gain 47.8% of the vote.

Historically, Nevada has been a battleground state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. Hence, predictions here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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