Montana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 42.0% of the two-party vote share in Montana, while Trump will win 58.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Montana. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Montana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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