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Montana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 42.0% of the two-party vote share in Montana, whereas Trump will win 58.0%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 56.6% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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