The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 47.3% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will end up with 52.7%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote in Missouri. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Missouri.