The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 47.2% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will win 52.8%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote in Missouri. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Missouri.