The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.8% for Clinton, and 46.2% for Trump in Minnesota.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.8% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.