MetroNews poll in West Virginia: Clinton trails by 18 points
MetroNews released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
MetroNews poll results
Of those who answered the question, 31.0% said that they will vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 49.0% said that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted between August 9 and August 28. The sample size was 386 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.7 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following comparison, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 38.8% for Clinton and 61.3% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.8% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 0.5 points above his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error suggests that this deviation is negligible.