The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 66.4% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, while Trump will win 33.7%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 64.0% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.