The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 66.3% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, whereas Trump will win 33.7%. In comparison, on October 18 Trump was still predicted to obtain 34.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.2% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.