The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 57.2% of the two-party vote share in Maine, while Trump will end up with 42.8%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.8% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maine.