The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 43.3% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, whereas Trump will win 56.7%. In comparison, on October 14, Clinton was predicted to win only 41.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.