Louisiana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 43.3% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, while Trump will end up with 56.7%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they may contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.