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Latest Middle Tn. State Univ.Middle Tn. State Univ. Poll in Tennessee: Trump with significant advantage

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Middle Tn. State Univ.Middle Tn. State Univ. released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Tennessee were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

Middle Tn. State Univ.Middle Tn. State Univ. Poll results
40

Clinton

50

Trump

According to the results, 40.0% of respondents indicated that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 50.0% would vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 28 to October 2 among 472 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-5.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 44.4% for Clinton and 55.6% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 3.3 points above his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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