Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, while Trump will end up with 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

Single models often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.1% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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