The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they can include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 60.7% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.