The Issues and Leaders model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 52.0% for Clinton, and 48.0% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, index models are subject to bias. In general, one should not focus too much on the results of an individual index model. At least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other index models
If we look at an average of index models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 53.6%. This value is 1.6 percentage points higher than corresponding numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the Issues and Leaders model.