Indiana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 44.8% for Clinton, and 55.2% for Trump in Indiana.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Indiana. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.