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Indiana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 44.7% for Clinton, and 55.3% for Trump in Indiana. In comparison, on October 13, Clinton was predicted to gain 44.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.7% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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