The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 44.7% for Clinton, and 55.3% for Trump in Indiana. In comparison, on October 13, Clinton was predicted to gain 44.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.7% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.