Illinois: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 62.2% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, whereas Trump will end up with 37.8%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in Illinois. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Illinois.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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