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Illinois: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 62.2% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 37.8%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Illinois. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 3.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Illinois.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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