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Idaho: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 34.0% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will win 66.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 64.8% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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