The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 34.0% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will win 66.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 64.8% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.