Idaho: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 34.0% for Clinton, and 66.0% for Trump in Idaho.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they may contain substantial biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.6% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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