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DeSart model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump in Washington, D.C..

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 88.3% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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