DeSart & Holbrook model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 37.7% for Clinton, and 62.3% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 60.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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