DeSart & Holbrook model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 37.5% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will end up with 62.5%. In comparison, on October 14 Trump was predicted to win 62.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 60.7% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.