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DeSart & Holbrook model in South Carolina: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 43.8% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 56.2%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.4% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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