DeSart & Holbrook model in North Dakota: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 39.3% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will win 60.8%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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