DeSart & Holbrook model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 56.1% for Clinton, and 43.9% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on October 19 Trump was predicted to win 43.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.6% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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