The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 56.3% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will end up with 43.7%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they often incorporate substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.8% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.