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DeSart & Holbrook model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 59.4% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, while Trump will end up with 40.6%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 58.0% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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