The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 59.4% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, while Trump will end up with 40.6%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 58.0% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.