Hit enter after type your search item

DeSart & Holbrook model in New Hampshire: Clinton is in the lead

/
/
/
22 Views

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.3% for Clinton, and 46.7% for Trump in New Hampshire. In comparison, on October 14, Clinton was predicted to gain 53.4% of the vote.

Historically, New Hampshire has been a swing state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. Hence, forecasts here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote in New Hampshire. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New Hampshire.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar