The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton, and 47.8% for Trump in Nevada.
In Nevada, the popular vote is often decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly referred to as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they can incorporate large biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nevada.