DeSart & Holbrook model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 39.0% for Clinton, and 61.0% for Trump in Nebraska.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they often include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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