DeSart & Holbrook model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 39.0% for Clinton, and 61.0% for Trump in Nebraska.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, as they often include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.