DeSart & Holbrook model in Montana: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 42.0% of the two-party vote share in Montana, while Trump will win 58.1%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.6% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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