DeSart & Holbrook model in Missouri: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 47.2% for Clinton, and 52.8% for Trump in Missouri.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they often contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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