DeSart & Holbrook model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 43.1% for Clinton, and 57.0% for Trump in Mississippi.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.6% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.