DeSart & Holbrook model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 43.0% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, whereas Trump will end up with 57.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.6% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.