DeSart & Holbrook model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 53.9% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, while Trump will end up with 46.1%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.