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DeSart & Holbrook model in Michigan: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.3% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will win 43.7%. In comparison, on October 19 Trump was predicted to garner 43.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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