The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.3% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will win 43.7%. In comparison, on October 19 Trump was predicted to garner 43.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.