DeSart & Holbrook model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 57.2% for Clinton, and 42.8% for Trump in Maine.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.8% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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