The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 57.2% for Clinton, and 42.8% for Trump in Maine.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.8% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maine.