Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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