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DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will win 64.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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