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DeSart & Holbrook model in Iowa: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 50.5% of the two-party vote share in Iowa, whereas Trump will win 49.6%.

Iowa is traditionally a swing state, where the two major political parties have historically achieved similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome in that state is viewed as crucial in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data. The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.5% of the two-party vote in Iowa.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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