The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 50.5% of the two-party vote share in Iowa, whereas Trump will win 49.6%.
Iowa is traditionally a swing state, where the two major political parties have historically achieved similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome in that state is viewed as crucial in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data. The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.5% of the two-party vote in Iowa.